US Fed rate cut expectations and consumer confidence concerns are shaping market outlook, according to Seth Freeman.
Summary
The article discusses the potential impact of the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) anticipated rate cut on market trends. It highlights the conflicting signals from weakening consumer confidence and optimistic market expectations, with Seth Freeman's analysis providing insights into the economic outlook.
Key Points
- US Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 bps.
- Analysts assign an 85% probability to the rate cut.
- Consumer confidence is weakening.
- A major home improvement chain has filed for bankruptcy.
- US markets are optimistic, anticipating gains into 2026.
Full Article
The US Fed is widely expected to deliver a 25 bps rate cut, with analysts assigning an 85% probability. Seth Freeman of GlassRatner warns that signs of consumer strain—including weakening confidence and a major home improvement chain filing for bankruptcy—could shape Fed policy ahead. Despite soft retail trends, US markets remain optimistic, pricing strong gains into 2026.